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Duke vs. NC State odds, score prediction, time: 2024 college basketball picks for March 4 by proven model

The 10th-ranked Duke Blue Devils will look to win in Raleigh, N.C., for the first time since 2021 when they take on the North Carolina State Wolfpack in an ACC matchup on Monday. The Blue Devils (23-6, 14-4 ACC), who have won two straight, are just 3-6 in their last nine games played at North Carolina State. The Wolfpack (17-12, 9-9 ACC), who have dropped two straight, are 0-3 against ranked opponents this season. Duke is 6-4 this season on the road, while North Carolina State is 12-4 on its home court.

The game will tip off at 7 p.m. ET at PNC Arena. Duke is averaging 80.3 points per game, while NC State averages 76. The Blue Devils are 6.5-point favorites in the latest Duke vs. NC State odds from SportsLine consensus, while the over/under for total points scored is 149. Before making any NC State vs. Duke picks, you need to see the college basketball predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The model simulates every Division I college basketball game 10,000 times. It enters Week 17 of the 2023-24 season on a 139-94 roll on all top-rated college basketball picks dating back to last season, returning nearly $2,300 for $100 players. It also is off to a sizzling 25-14 start on top-rated spread picks this season. Anyone following has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Duke vs. NC State and revealed its CBB picks and predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Here are several college basketball odds and trends for NC State vs. Duke:

  • Duke vs. North Carolina State spread: Duke -6.5
  • Duke vs. North Carolina State over/under: 149 points
  • Duke vs. North Carolina State money line: Duke -276, NC State +224
  • DUKE: The Blue Devils have covered the spread in 22 of their last 35 games (+8.80 units)
  • NCS: The Wolfpack have hit the team total over in 19 of their last 32 games (+4.30 units)
  • Duke vs. North Carolina State picks: See picks at SportsLine

Why Duke can cover

Freshman guard Jared McCain continues to be an integral part to the Blue Devils’ success. In 29 games, all starts, he is averaging 13.3 points, 4.9 rebounds, 1.8 assists and 1.1 steals in 30.6 minutes. He has reached double-digit scoring in two of the past three games, including a 15-point and five-rebound performance in an 83-79 loss at Wake Forest on Feb. 24. He has four double-doubles in 2023-24, including a 17-point and 10-rebound effort against Wake Forest in a 77-69 win on Feb. 12. He poured in a season-high 35 points in a 76-67 win at Florida State on Feb. 17.

Sophomore forward Mark Mitchell is coming off a 10-point, five-rebound and two-block effort in Saturday’s 73-48 win over Virginia. He has started 25 of 26 games played, and is one of five Blue Devils averaging 10 or more points. In 29.1 minutes of action, Mitchell is averaging 12.7 points, 6.2 rebounds and 1.2 assists. He has three double-doubles on the year, including a 23-point and 14-rebound performance in a 67-59 win at Notre Dame on Jan. 6. See which team to pick here

Why NC State can cover

Senior guard DJ Horne, who is in his first season with the Wolfpack after spending his freshman and sophomore seasons at Illinois State and the past two years at Arizona State, has started 28 of 29 games this year. He leads N.C. State in scoring and is averaging 17.6 points, 3.3 rebounds, 2.2 assists and 1.4 steals in 32.7 minutes. He was dominant in Saturday’s loss at No. 9 North Carolina, scoring 20 points, while adding three rebounds, two assists and two steals. He scored a season-high 32 points in an 87-83 loss at Syracuse on Feb. 20.

The Wolfpack are also led by another transfer in junior guard Jayden Taylor. After playing two years at Butler, Taylor joined North Carolina State this year, and has started 24 of 29 games. He has scored 20-plus points in each of the last two games, including 24 in a 90-83 loss at Florida State on Tuesday, and 22 points in Saturday’s loss at North Carolina. In 28.4 minutes of action, Taylor is averaging 12.2 points, 3.7 rebounds, 1.3 assists and 1.2 steals. See which team to pick here

How to make NC State vs. Duke picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning Over on the total, projecting 150 combined points. The model also says one side of the spread hits more than 50% of the time. You can see the picks at SportsLine.

So who wins Duke vs. NC State, and which side of the spread hits more than 50% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see the best bets from a model that’s 25-14 on top-rated college basketball picks this season, and find out.

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